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U.S. companies added more jobs than expected in September, while activity in the vast services sector picked up, suggesting the economy remained on track for modest growth.
The ADP National Employment Report showed private employers added 162,000 jobs in September, more than economists expected, but fewer than the 189,000 hired in August.
Separate data from the Institute for Supply Management showed that new orders helped growth in the service sector to pick up to 55.1 in September, the best pace since March, from 53.7 a month earlier.
"It looks more like things are heading in the right direction. It is this new reality - we don't have robust growth, we just have very moderate growth," said William Larkin, fixed income portfolio manager at Cabot Money Management in Salem, Massachusetts.
The ADP report precedes the U.S. Labor Department's more comprehensive employment report due on Friday. That report includes both public and private sector employment and is expected to show job growth improved slightly last month.
Analysts often refer to the ADP report to fine-tune forecasts for the Labor Department's payrolls numbers, though the two reports may not always be in sync.
Over the past six months, the ADP report has exceeded the government's private payrolls numbers by an average of just over 50,000 according to Barclays. August's initial figures from ADP overshot by 98,000.
Some economists said Wednesday's data did not alter their forecasts, given the recent divergence.
The lackluster economic recovery and high unemployment rate have been a focal point of the U.S. presidential campaign leading up to the November elections.
A televised debate Wednesday night will provide President Barack Obama and Republican candidate Mitt Romney with the opportunity to challenge each other directly on economic issues.
The economy grew at just 1.3 percent in the second quarter and economists believe the recovery will remain sluggish, though it should avoid contraction.
"While the economy isn't plunging into recession, it still isn't creating enough jobs to drive the unemployment rate lower either," wrote Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics.
The recovery has a number of factors to contend with, including a drag from the European debt crisis, slowing growth in China and domestic fiscal policy.
And some companies are deferring investment and hiring decisions amid uncertainty over whether Congress will act to change the hefty tax hikes and government spending cuts that are set to come into effect at the beginning of next year.
SMALL FIRMS HIRE
Small businesses - firms with fewer than 50 workers - added 81,000 new works, or half the jobs in September, according to ADP. Large companies with 500 or more workers added 17,000 jobs, while companies in the middle created 64,000 jobs.
The increase in private payrolls in August was revised down to 189,000 from a previously reported 201,000. July's rise was also revised down, to 156,000 from 173,000.
Last month, the Federal Reserve launched an aggressive new plan to bolster the economy, saying it will buy $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities per month until the outlook for the job market substantially improves and as long as inflation remains contained.
ISM's forward-looking new orders index jumped to 57.7 in September from 53.7 in August, but growth in employment eased to 51.1 from 53.8. Exports also slowed to 50.5 from 52.
Services firms - which range from agriculture to real estate companies - avoided the contraction that hit their manufacturing counterparts over the summer.
The resilience in the U.S. contrasted with data from abroad, which showed a slowdown in the euro zone service sector worsened last month, and China's services sector expansion slowed to nearly a two-year low.
Trading was choppy on Wall Street following the data, with U.S. stocks advancing modestly by midday. The dollar hit a fresh two-week high against the yen, and Treasuries prices weakened.
Separate data showed demand for mortgage refinancing surged more than 19 percent last week as interest rates tumbled to new record lows in the wake of the Fed's announcement of its latest stimulus plan, referred to by market watchers as "QE3."
More people were also looking to buy a home, with purchase applications rising nearly 4.0 percent.
"While we still think that QE3 will have only a small impact on the wider economy, this demonstrates that monetary policy isn't completely ineffective," said Ashworth.
相關(guān)中文資料
美國公司9月新增崗位數(shù)量多於預(yù)期,與此同時(shí)服務(wù)業(yè)活動(dòng)升溫,顯示美國經(jīng)濟(jì)仍處於溫和成長的軌道上.
民間就業(yè)服務(wù)機(jī)構(gòu)ADP Employer Services周三發(fā)布的報(bào)告顯示,9月ADP民間就業(yè)人數(shù)增加16.2萬人,高於分析師預(yù)估的增加14.3萬人,但遜於8月的增長18.9萬人.
美國供應(yīng)管理協(xié)會(huì)(ISM)周三亦公布,9月非制造業(yè)指數(shù)升至55.1,創(chuàng)3月份以來的高位,超過8月的53.7,得益於新訂單強(qiáng)勁.
"看來形勢正朝著正確的方向前進(jìn).新的現(xiàn)實(shí)情況是:經(jīng)濟(jì)并未強(qiáng)勁增長,只是非常溫和的成長,"Cabot Money Management固定收益投資組合經(jīng)理William Larkin說.
稍後美國勞工部周五將公布更為全面的非農(nóng)就業(yè)報(bào)告,涵蓋公共和民間部門的就業(yè)情況,預(yù)計(jì)顯示上月就業(yè)增長略微改善.
分析師常常根據(jù)ADP報(bào)告來調(diào)整他們對(duì)勞工部非農(nóng)就業(yè)報(bào)告的預(yù)估,不過,這兩份報(bào)告可能不總是保持一致.
根據(jù)巴克萊的統(tǒng)計(jì),在過去六個(gè)月中,ADP報(bào)告平均超出政府民間就業(yè)數(shù)字的幅度為略高於5萬個(gè).8月ADP就業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)高出9.8萬個(gè).
一些分析師稱,鑒於近來ADP和非農(nóng)就業(yè)報(bào)告的不一致性,周三公布的數(shù)據(jù)不會(huì)改變他們對(duì)周五非農(nóng)就業(yè)報(bào)告的預(yù)估.
瀏覽ADP報(bào)告與勞工部報(bào)告對(duì)比圖表,請(qǐng)點(diǎn)選:(link.reuters.com/put92t)
瀏覽美國、歐元區(qū)和中國服務(wù)業(yè)PMI的圖表,請(qǐng)點(diǎn)選:(link.reuters.com/kev92t)
瀏覽美國服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的圖表,請(qǐng)點(diǎn)選:(link.reuters.com/mev92t)
經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇乏力和失業(yè)率高企,一直是11月美國總統(tǒng)大選前的焦議題.
美國總統(tǒng)奧巴馬與共和黨總統(tǒng)候選人羅姆尼當(dāng)?shù)貢r(shí)間周三晚間進(jìn)行電視辯論,將就經(jīng)濟(jì)議題直接向?qū)Ψ桨l(fā)起挑戰(zhàn).
美國經(jīng)濟(jì)第二季環(huán)比年率終值僅為增長1.3%,分析師認(rèn)為復(fù)蘇將保持遲緩,不過應(yīng)會(huì)避免萎縮.
"雖然經(jīng)濟(jì)沒有滑向衰退,但仍難以創(chuàng)造足夠多的工作崗位來壓低失業(yè)率,"Capital Economics首席美國分析師Paul Ashworth說.
美國經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇面臨著許多不利因素,包括歐債危機(jī)久拖不決,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)成長放緩,以及美國國內(nèi)財(cái)政政策.
一些公司推遲了投資和招聘計(jì)劃,因關(guān)於國會(huì)是否會(huì)采取行動(dòng)解決"財(cái)政懸崖"問題存在不確定性.
小型企業(yè)招聘
據(jù)ADP數(shù)據(jù),員工不足50名的小型企業(yè)新增8.1萬個(gè)就業(yè)崗位.擁有500名或更多員工的大型企業(yè)新增1.7萬個(gè)就業(yè)崗位,介於這兩者之間的企業(yè)新增了6.4萬個(gè).
8月民間就業(yè)人數(shù)被下修至增加18.9萬人,初值為增加20.1萬人.7月就業(yè)人數(shù)亦自增加17.3萬人下修至增加15.6萬人.
上個(gè)月,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(FED)推出新一輪積極的貨幣刺激計(jì)劃,稱將每月購買400億美元抵押支持債券(MBS),只要通脹依然受到遏制將持續(xù)實(shí)施資產(chǎn)購買行動(dòng),直到就業(yè)前景明顯改善.
ISM美國9月非制造業(yè)新訂單分項(xiàng)指數(shù)自8月的53.7升至57.7,但就業(yè)分項(xiàng)指數(shù)從53.8下滑至51.1.出口指數(shù)亦自52滑落至50.5.
服務(wù)業(yè)企業(yè)避免了陷入萎縮境地.
上述數(shù)據(jù)公布後,華爾街交投震蕩,美股小幅上揚(yáng).美元兌日?qǐng)A觸及兩周新高,美國公債價(jià)格變動(dòng)不大.
另有數(shù)據(jù)顯示,上周美國住房抵押貸款申請(qǐng)大增,再融資需求升至逾三年位,受利率降至紀(jì)錄新低推動(dòng).
"雖然我們?nèi)哉J(rèn)為QE3只會(huì)對(duì)整體經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生很小的影響,但這(數(shù)據(jù))說明貨幣政策并非一點(diǎn)用也沒有,"Ashworth說.
U.S. companies added more jobs than expected in September, while activity in the vast services sector picked up, suggesting the economy remained on track for modest growth.
The ADP National Employment Report showed private employers added 162,000 jobs in September, more than economists expected, but fewer than the 189,000 hired in August.
Separate data from the Institute for Supply Management showed that new orders helped growth in the service sector to pick up to 55.1 in September, the best pace since March, from 53.7 a month earlier.
"It looks more like things are heading in the right direction. It is this new reality - we don't have robust growth, we just have very moderate growth," said William Larkin, fixed income portfolio manager at Cabot Money Management in Salem, Massachusetts.
The ADP report precedes the U.S. Labor Department's more comprehensive employment report due on Friday. That report includes both public and private sector employment and is expected to show job growth improved slightly last month.
Analysts often refer to the ADP report to fine-tune forecasts for the Labor Department's payrolls numbers, though the two reports may not always be in sync.
Over the past six months, the ADP report has exceeded the government's private payrolls numbers by an average of just over 50,000 according to Barclays. August's initial figures from ADP overshot by 98,000.
Some economists said Wednesday's data did not alter their forecasts, given the recent divergence.
The lackluster economic recovery and high unemployment rate have been a focal point of the U.S. presidential campaign leading up to the November elections.
A televised debate Wednesday night will provide President Barack Obama and Republican candidate Mitt Romney with the opportunity to challenge each other directly on economic issues.
The economy grew at just 1.3 percent in the second quarter and economists believe the recovery will remain sluggish, though it should avoid contraction.
"While the economy isn't plunging into recession, it still isn't creating enough jobs to drive the unemployment rate lower either," wrote Paul Ashworth, chief U.S. economist at Capital Economics.
The recovery has a number of factors to contend with, including a drag from the European debt crisis, slowing growth in China and domestic fiscal policy.
And some companies are deferring investment and hiring decisions amid uncertainty over whether Congress will act to change the hefty tax hikes and government spending cuts that are set to come into effect at the beginning of next year.
SMALL FIRMS HIRE
Small businesses - firms with fewer than 50 workers - added 81,000 new works, or half the jobs in September, according to ADP. Large companies with 500 or more workers added 17,000 jobs, while companies in the middle created 64,000 jobs.
The increase in private payrolls in August was revised down to 189,000 from a previously reported 201,000. July's rise was also revised down, to 156,000 from 173,000.
Last month, the Federal Reserve launched an aggressive new plan to bolster the economy, saying it will buy $40 billion in mortgage-backed securities per month until the outlook for the job market substantially improves and as long as inflation remains contained.
ISM's forward-looking new orders index jumped to 57.7 in September from 53.7 in August, but growth in employment eased to 51.1 from 53.8. Exports also slowed to 50.5 from 52.
Services firms - which range from agriculture to real estate companies - avoided the contraction that hit their manufacturing counterparts over the summer.
The resilience in the U.S. contrasted with data from abroad, which showed a slowdown in the euro zone service sector worsened last month, and China's services sector expansion slowed to nearly a two-year low.
Trading was choppy on Wall Street following the data, with U.S. stocks advancing modestly by midday. The dollar hit a fresh two-week high against the yen, and Treasuries prices weakened.
Separate data showed demand for mortgage refinancing surged more than 19 percent last week as interest rates tumbled to new record lows in the wake of the Fed's announcement of its latest stimulus plan, referred to by market watchers as "QE3."
More people were also looking to buy a home, with purchase applications rising nearly 4.0 percent.
"While we still think that QE3 will have only a small impact on the wider economy, this demonstrates that monetary policy isn't completely ineffective," said Ashworth.
相關(guān)中文資料
美國公司9月新增崗位數(shù)量多於預(yù)期,與此同時(shí)服務(wù)業(yè)活動(dòng)升溫,顯示美國經(jīng)濟(jì)仍處於溫和成長的軌道上.
民間就業(yè)服務(wù)機(jī)構(gòu)ADP Employer Services周三發(fā)布的報(bào)告顯示,9月ADP民間就業(yè)人數(shù)增加16.2萬人,高於分析師預(yù)估的增加14.3萬人,但遜於8月的增長18.9萬人.
美國供應(yīng)管理協(xié)會(huì)(ISM)周三亦公布,9月非制造業(yè)指數(shù)升至55.1,創(chuàng)3月份以來的高位,超過8月的53.7,得益於新訂單強(qiáng)勁.
"看來形勢正朝著正確的方向前進(jìn).新的現(xiàn)實(shí)情況是:經(jīng)濟(jì)并未強(qiáng)勁增長,只是非常溫和的成長,"Cabot Money Management固定收益投資組合經(jīng)理William Larkin說.
稍後美國勞工部周五將公布更為全面的非農(nóng)就業(yè)報(bào)告,涵蓋公共和民間部門的就業(yè)情況,預(yù)計(jì)顯示上月就業(yè)增長略微改善.
分析師常常根據(jù)ADP報(bào)告來調(diào)整他們對(duì)勞工部非農(nóng)就業(yè)報(bào)告的預(yù)估,不過,這兩份報(bào)告可能不總是保持一致.
根據(jù)巴克萊的統(tǒng)計(jì),在過去六個(gè)月中,ADP報(bào)告平均超出政府民間就業(yè)數(shù)字的幅度為略高於5萬個(gè).8月ADP就業(yè)數(shù)據(jù)高出9.8萬個(gè).
一些分析師稱,鑒於近來ADP和非農(nóng)就業(yè)報(bào)告的不一致性,周三公布的數(shù)據(jù)不會(huì)改變他們對(duì)周五非農(nóng)就業(yè)報(bào)告的預(yù)估.
瀏覽ADP報(bào)告與勞工部報(bào)告對(duì)比圖表,請(qǐng)點(diǎn)選:(link.reuters.com/put92t)
瀏覽美國、歐元區(qū)和中國服務(wù)業(yè)PMI的圖表,請(qǐng)點(diǎn)選:(link.reuters.com/kev92t)
瀏覽美國服務(wù)業(yè)就業(yè)的圖表,請(qǐng)點(diǎn)選:(link.reuters.com/mev92t)
經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇乏力和失業(yè)率高企,一直是11月美國總統(tǒng)大選前的焦議題.
美國總統(tǒng)奧巴馬與共和黨總統(tǒng)候選人羅姆尼當(dāng)?shù)貢r(shí)間周三晚間進(jìn)行電視辯論,將就經(jīng)濟(jì)議題直接向?qū)Ψ桨l(fā)起挑戰(zhàn).
美國經(jīng)濟(jì)第二季環(huán)比年率終值僅為增長1.3%,分析師認(rèn)為復(fù)蘇將保持遲緩,不過應(yīng)會(huì)避免萎縮.
"雖然經(jīng)濟(jì)沒有滑向衰退,但仍難以創(chuàng)造足夠多的工作崗位來壓低失業(yè)率,"Capital Economics首席美國分析師Paul Ashworth說.
美國經(jīng)濟(jì)復(fù)蘇面臨著許多不利因素,包括歐債危機(jī)久拖不決,中國經(jīng)濟(jì)成長放緩,以及美國國內(nèi)財(cái)政政策.
一些公司推遲了投資和招聘計(jì)劃,因關(guān)於國會(huì)是否會(huì)采取行動(dòng)解決"財(cái)政懸崖"問題存在不確定性.
小型企業(yè)招聘
據(jù)ADP數(shù)據(jù),員工不足50名的小型企業(yè)新增8.1萬個(gè)就業(yè)崗位.擁有500名或更多員工的大型企業(yè)新增1.7萬個(gè)就業(yè)崗位,介於這兩者之間的企業(yè)新增了6.4萬個(gè).
8月民間就業(yè)人數(shù)被下修至增加18.9萬人,初值為增加20.1萬人.7月就業(yè)人數(shù)亦自增加17.3萬人下修至增加15.6萬人.
上個(gè)月,美聯(lián)儲(chǔ)(FED)推出新一輪積極的貨幣刺激計(jì)劃,稱將每月購買400億美元抵押支持債券(MBS),只要通脹依然受到遏制將持續(xù)實(shí)施資產(chǎn)購買行動(dòng),直到就業(yè)前景明顯改善.
ISM美國9月非制造業(yè)新訂單分項(xiàng)指數(shù)自8月的53.7升至57.7,但就業(yè)分項(xiàng)指數(shù)從53.8下滑至51.1.出口指數(shù)亦自52滑落至50.5.
服務(wù)業(yè)企業(yè)避免了陷入萎縮境地.
上述數(shù)據(jù)公布後,華爾街交投震蕩,美股小幅上揚(yáng).美元兌日?qǐng)A觸及兩周新高,美國公債價(jià)格變動(dòng)不大.
另有數(shù)據(jù)顯示,上周美國住房抵押貸款申請(qǐng)大增,再融資需求升至逾三年位,受利率降至紀(jì)錄新低推動(dòng).
"雖然我們?nèi)哉J(rèn)為QE3只會(huì)對(duì)整體經(jīng)濟(jì)產(chǎn)生很小的影響,但這(數(shù)據(jù))說明貨幣政策并非一點(diǎn)用也沒有,"Ashworth說.