The National Bureau of Statistics index of purchasing managers in July shows the economy may stabilize in the coming months after blistering growth in the first six months, analysts said. The index, which was compiled by the China Federation of Logistics and Purchasing on behalf of the bureau and released yesterday, fell to 53.3 last month from 54.5 in June. A reading of over 50 indicates an expansion in business activity. It has fallen for the fourth consecutive month and the July figure was a five-month low. "It shows decreased orders for the coming months," said Zhu Baoliang, an economist from the State Information Center. "This is not surprising as the country has taken measures to cool the economy, which will lead to decreased exports in July and August," he told China Daily. China's gross domestic product grew by 11.5 percent and CPI growth hit a 33-month high of 4.4 percent in June, with fixed-assets investment and lending also hovering at high levels, triggering widespread concerns about an overheating economy. The country has started to reduce or remove the export rebate of more than 2,800 products from July 1 in its efforts to dampen exports and narrow trade surplus. The new export orders index by the statistics bureau fell to 53.5 in July from 55 in June. "Exporters have rushed to beat the tax rebate adjustment before July 1 and therefore the orders would drop in the coming months," Zhu said. The index would continue to drop but in a gradual manner this year, he said.
據(jù)分析家分析，經(jīng)過(guò)前6個(gè)月過(guò)熱發(fā)展之后，國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局7月采購(gòu)經(jīng)理指數(shù)顯示未來(lái)幾個(gè)月經(jīng)濟(jì)可能穩(wěn)定 。 昨天，中國(guó)物流與采購(gòu)聯(lián)合會(huì)和采購(gòu)代表局聯(lián)合公布指數(shù)，由6月份的54.5降至53.3。超過(guò)50的指數(shù) 表明商業(yè)活動(dòng)在擴(kuò)張。 采購(gòu)經(jīng)理指數(shù)連續(xù)4個(gè)月的下跌，7月份數(shù)據(jù)降至5個(gè)月的最低點(diǎn)。 國(guó)家信息中心經(jīng)濟(jì)師祝寶良指出“這顯示未來(lái)幾個(gè)月訂單將下跌。這并不奇怪，由于國(guó)家采取防止經(jīng) 濟(jì)過(guò)熱措施，這將導(dǎo)致7月到8月出口量減少?！?我國(guó)GDP增長(zhǎng)了11.5%，6月份CPI增長(zhǎng)4.4%創(chuàng)33個(gè)月新高。固定資產(chǎn)與貸款也盤(pán)旋在高位，引發(fā)了對(duì)經(jīng) 濟(jì)過(guò)熱的廣泛關(guān)注。 從今年7月1日開(kāi)始，國(guó)家將不得不減少或取消2800余種產(chǎn)品的出口退稅，以抑制出口，減少貿(mào)易順差 。 統(tǒng)計(jì)局?jǐn)?shù)據(jù)顯示7月的出口訂單指數(shù)將由6月的55降至53.5. “出口商不得不搶在7月1日出口退稅政策調(diào)整之前，所以未來(lái)幾個(gè)月訂單會(huì)減少?！北硎?，今年指數(shù)將會(huì)逐漸繼續(xù)下降。
據(jù)分析家分析，經(jīng)過(guò)前6個(gè)月過(guò)熱發(fā)展之后，國(guó)家統(tǒng)計(jì)局7月采購(gòu)經(jīng)理指數(shù)顯示未來(lái)幾個(gè)月經(jīng)濟(jì)可能穩(wěn)定 。 昨天，中國(guó)物流與采購(gòu)聯(lián)合會(huì)和采購(gòu)代表局聯(lián)合公布指數(shù)，由6月份的54.5降至53.3。超過(guò)50的指數(shù) 表明商業(yè)活動(dòng)在擴(kuò)張。 采購(gòu)經(jīng)理指數(shù)連續(xù)4個(gè)月的下跌，7月份數(shù)據(jù)降至5個(gè)月的最低點(diǎn)。 國(guó)家信息中心經(jīng)濟(jì)師祝寶良指出“這顯示未來(lái)幾個(gè)月訂單將下跌。這并不奇怪，由于國(guó)家采取防止經(jīng) 濟(jì)過(guò)熱措施，這將導(dǎo)致7月到8月出口量減少?！?我國(guó)GDP增長(zhǎng)了11.5%，6月份CPI增長(zhǎng)4.4%創(chuàng)33個(gè)月新高。固定資產(chǎn)與貸款也盤(pán)旋在高位，引發(fā)了對(duì)經(jīng) 濟(jì)過(guò)熱的廣泛關(guān)注。 從今年7月1日開(kāi)始，國(guó)家將不得不減少或取消2800余種產(chǎn)品的出口退稅，以抑制出口，減少貿(mào)易順差 。 統(tǒng)計(jì)局?jǐn)?shù)據(jù)顯示7月的出口訂單指數(shù)將由6月的55降至53.5. “出口商不得不搶在7月1日出口退稅政策調(diào)整之前，所以未來(lái)幾個(gè)月訂單會(huì)減少?！北硎?，今年指數(shù)將會(huì)逐漸繼續(xù)下降。