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2017年GRE寫作解析一
The following appeared as a letter to the editor from a Central Plaza store owner.
"Over the past two years, the number of shoppers in Central Plaza has been steadily decreasing while the popularity of skateboarding has increased dramatically. Many Central Plaza store owners believe that the decrease in their business is due to the number of skateboard users in the plaza. There has also been a dramatic increase in the amount of litter and vandalism throughout the plaza. Thus, we recommend that the city prohibit skateboarding in Central Plaza. If skateboarding is prohibited here, we predict that business in Central Plaza will return to its previously high levels."
Write a response in which you discuss what questions would need to be answered in order to decide whether the recommendation is likely to have the predicted result. Be sure to explain how the answers to these questions would help to evaluate the recommendation.
步驟：滑板增多之后生意下降;店主的話 → 滑板導(dǎo)致生意下降
假設(shè)：沒有它因;店主的話可靠
反例：店主經(jīng)營不善;經(jīng)濟(jì)危機(jī);網(wǎng)購增多
補(bǔ)充證據(jù)：商店策略的變化;社會(huì)經(jīng)濟(jì)環(huán)境的變化;消費(fèi)習(xí)慣的變化
步驟：滑板增多之后垃圾和破壞公物增多→滑板導(dǎo)致
假設(shè)：沒有它因
反例：管理不善
補(bǔ)充證據(jù)：調(diào)查plaza對于環(huán)境維護(hù)的投入的變化
步驟：滑板導(dǎo)致生意下降→禁止滑板可以使生意恢復(fù)
假設(shè)：滑板沒有造成plaza聲譽(yù)的毀滅性打擊
反例：滑板徹底使得消費(fèi)者對plaza失去興趣，并在其它地方形成了新的商業(yè)區(qū)，形成了固定的消費(fèi)行為
補(bǔ)充證據(jù)：消費(fèi)者目前有沒有形成新的消費(fèi)區(qū)域
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